What the numbers say is actually happening.
Legislation and deployment trackers tell you where AVs are allowed to operate. This page is about what happens once they do — to trip volume, to testing activity, and to the market driving it all. Every figure below traces back to a named report; where we've done the math ourselves (like projecting a stated growth rate forward), we say so.
Trip volume YoY, AV-market cities
Trip volume YoY, nationwide
Per-mile cost, AV vs. human driver
S&P Global's estimated AV/human cost crossover year
Rideshare trip volume: year-over-year change
Cities where robotaxis are actively operating are seeing rideshare trip counts fall faster than the national trend — and Los Angeles, the most saturated market, faster still.
View as table
| Market | YoY change |
|---|---|
| Nationwide | -2.56% |
| AV-market cities (avg.) | -5.32% |
| Los Angeles | -10% |
Source: Gridwise, 2026 Annual Gig Mobility & AV Impact Report (Jan 27, 2026) — based on 800M+ trips and $8.5B in driver earnings data. Verified 2026-08-23.
California autonomous vehicle testing miles
California is the one state that requires AV operators to publicly report testing mileage. Year over year, that number roughly doubled.
That's roughly +100% in one year.
View as table
| Period | Miles tested |
|---|---|
| Dec 2023 – Nov 2024 | 4,498,066 |
| Dec 2024 – Nov 2025 | 9,000,000+ |
Source: California DMV, Autonomous Vehicle Testing Program disclosures. Verified 2026-08-23.
Projected robotaxi market size, 2023–2030
A research firm's published starting point and growth rate, extended into a curve so you can see the shape of the projection — not eight independently reported figures.
Implied growth rate: 74.5% compound annual. Solid dots are the firm's published figures; hollow dots are the modeled years in between — hover any point for its value.
Source: Next Move Strategy Consulting, Robotaxi Market Report. In-between years are AVDriverHub's own compound-growth calculation from the firm's published baseline and CAGR, not independently reported figures. Verified 2026-08-23.
Have a dataset we should be pulling from — a state DOT, a city open-data portal, an industry report? Tell us and we'll look at adding it.